Прогнозирование результатов гидроразрыва пласта с использованием теории информации

Поплыгин, В.В.; Диенг, А.; Ши, К.

doi:10.15593/2712-8008/2024.2.7

Прогнозирование результатов гидроразрыва пласта с использованием теории информации

В.В. Поплыгин, А. Диенг, К. Ши

Сведения об авторах

В.В. Поплыгин
Пермский национальный исследовательский политехнический университет, Пермь, Россия
А. Диенг
Пермский национальный исследовательский политехнический университет, Пермь, Россия
К. Ши
Китайский нефтяной университет (Восточный Китай), Циндао, Китай

https://doi.org/10.15593/2712-8008/2024.2.7

Гидроразрыв пласта позволяет увеличить дебиты скважин и сократить время извлечения нефти из пластов. В статье рассмотрены карбонатные отложения Пермского края. На этих залежах активно проводится гидроразрыв пласта. Для правильного планирования гидроразрыва пласта необходимо определить основные факторы, влияющие на дебит нефти после мероприятия. В исследовании использовалась теория информации для выявления основных факторов, влияющих на результаты гидроразрыва пласта. Для рассматриваемых месторождений основные факторы – обводненность до мероприятия, ширина трещины, длина трещины, дебит нефти до мероприятия. Имея данные об этих параметрах, можно с высокой достоверностью прогнозировать проведение гидроразрыва пласта. Построена модель прогнозирования результатов ГРП методом множественной линейной регрессии. Проведен статистический анализ ключевых параметров с построением диаграмм размаха среднего, максимального, медианного, квартильного и минимального значений для каждого параметра. Данные по скважинам разделили на две группы и выполнен анализ результатов по всем параметрам. Получено, что коэффициент продуктивности увеличивается с увеличением дебита нефти после гидроразрыва пласта и ширины трещины, причем наибольшее значение характеризовало группу B; поэтому ожидается, что дебит в этой группе будет большим. Остальные параметры в группах A и B были схожими. Абсолютное отклонение рассчитанных по второй модели значений дебита нефти после гидроразрыва пласта составило от 1,287 до 0,662 по сравнению с расчетными значениями по первой модели. Относительное отклонение от 4,1 % в первой модели до 2,4 % во второй модели. Полученные результаты позволят оперативно прогнозировать проведение гидроразрыва пласта на новых скважинах.

Ключевые слова

нефтяной пластгидроразрыв пластатеория информацииобводненность

Литература

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Опубликована: 28.06.2024
В выпуске: 28.06.2024
Выпуск: Том 24, № 2 (2024)

Прогнозирование результатов гидроразрыва пласта с использованием теории информации

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Forecasting Hydraulic Fracturing Results Using Information Amount Theory

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Прогнозирование результатов гидроразрыва пласта с использованием теории информации

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Forecasting Hydraulic Fracturing Results Using Information Amount Theory

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